Why is this year so dry?

Questions and reports related to Sierra Nevada current and forecast conditions, as well as general precautions and safety information. Trail conditions, fire/smoke reports, mosquito reports, weather and snow conditions, stream crossing information, and more.
Post Reply
User avatar
mxoyez
Topix Acquainted
Posts: 60
Joined: Tue Oct 20, 2020 1:26 pm
Experience: Level 2 Backpacker

Why is this year so dry?

Post by mxoyez »

The snowpack this winter was better than last winter (53%), and far better than 2015 (10%) yet it's so much dryer than anything in the past. Does anyone know why?
User avatar
c9h13no3
Topix Fanatic
Posts: 1326
Joined: Tue Sep 18, 2018 1:19 pm
Experience: Level 1 Hiker
Location: San Mateo, CA

Re: Why is this year so dry?

Post by c9h13no3 »

In a nutshell:

- This La Nina year was quite poor for the southern areas of the state, where most of the Sierra is.
- The spring was dry and warm, despite a reasonable snowpack on April 1st.
- The snow we did have was cold and light, and blown off of much of the high mountains by various wind events.

The first two points are pretty clearly illustrated in the graph below. The red line (2020), you can clearly see the spring snow pack actually increased after April 1st. While in 2021, it barely snowed in April or May.

It isn't as bad out there as 2015, *that* was a ridiculous year. But we had a slightly dry winter with a really warm & dry spring.

2020_vs_2021.PNG
The chart above you can find here.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
"Adventure is just bad planning." - Roald Amundsen
Also, I have a blog no one reads. Please do not click here.
User avatar
mxoyez
Topix Acquainted
Posts: 60
Joined: Tue Oct 20, 2020 1:26 pm
Experience: Level 2 Backpacker

Re: Why is this year so dry?

Post by mxoyez »

Thank you for the explanation, I really appreciate it!
User avatar
SSSdave
Topix Addict
Posts: 3524
Joined: Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:18 pm
Experience: N/A
Location: Silicon Valley
Contact:

Re: Why is this year so dry?

Post by SSSdave »

Generally dry dry true but gradually different north versus south and somewhat variable as always. The norther Sierra looks drier than it is due to the dry March April and May. Over decades I've experienced a whole lot of variable weather. A good way to understand where we are at this point is to go to Sentinel Hub and on the 10km scale (window lower right) quickly mouse drag SE down the range where only 2 zones have much snow. Glacier Divide thru Palisades modestly white along crest. But far more white that was obvious in WD's recent trip photos is The Ritter Range did well especially during the huge end of January storm during the winter and during the numbers of small cold storms this winter. Mono Cr, Fish Cr. Piute Cr basins have much less than normal snow left.
RitterR-SH-6-20-21.jpg
SFSANJ-SH-62021.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
mxoyez
Topix Acquainted
Posts: 60
Joined: Tue Oct 20, 2020 1:26 pm
Experience: Level 2 Backpacker

Re: Why is this year so dry?

Post by mxoyez »

SSSdave wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 8:23 pm Generally dry dry true but gradually different north versus south and somewhat variable as always. The norther Sierra looks drier than it is due to the dry March April and May. Over decades I've experienced a whole lot of variable weather. A good way to understand where we are at this point is to go to Sentinel Hub and on the 10km scale (window lower right) quickly mouse drag SE down the range where only 2 zones have much snow. Glacier Divide thru Palisades modestly white along crest. But far more white that was obvious in WD's recent trip photos is The Ritter Range did well especially during the huge end of January storm during the winter and during the numbers of small cold storms this winter. Mono Cr, Fish Cr. Piute Cr basins have much less than normal snow left.

RitterR-SH-6-20-21.jpg

SFSANJ-SH-62021.jpg
Thanks for the clarification, that makes sense. So is the northern sierra doing better than the southern overall?
User avatar
c9h13no3
Topix Fanatic
Posts: 1326
Joined: Tue Sep 18, 2018 1:19 pm
Experience: Level 1 Hiker
Location: San Mateo, CA

Re: Why is this year so dry?

Post by c9h13no3 »

mxoyez wrote: Sun Jun 27, 2021 10:41 pm Thanks for the clarification, that makes sense. So is the northern sierra doing better than the southern overall?
Correct. The northern Sierra gets more snow on average, but it's an even bigger difference than usual this year.
"Adventure is just bad planning." - Roald Amundsen
Also, I have a blog no one reads. Please do not click here.
Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 74 guests